Southern California
W-L: ( 6- 4) PR = 85.1386Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H California ACC ( 5- 6, 82.4) 16- 9 212 H Denver Big East ( 7- 1, 92.3) 4-15 215 H Brown Ivy League ( 4- 3, 86.9) 9- 8 220 A UC Davis Big 12 ( 5- 4, 83.7) 12-11 222 A Stanford ACC ( 9- 0, 95.9) 4-18 228 A Arizona State Big 12 ( 5- 5, 85.4) 16-14 304 H San Diego State Big 12 ( 1- 6, 78.4) 13- 3 308 H Niagara Metro Atlanti ( 1- 7, 77.1) 19-10 312 H Penn State Big Ten ( 9- 1, 92.8) 8-19 315 H Michigan Big Ten ( 6- 2, 91.7) 11-15 319 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten ( 8- 1, 91.4) 322 A Maryland Big Ten ( 8- 0, 93.4) 328 H Rutgers Big Ten ( 5- 4, 89.7) 404 A Northwestern Big Ten ( 5- 3, 94.2) 406 A Central Michigan MAC ( 1- 8, 73.4) 408 A Central Michigan MAC ( 1- 8, 73.4) 411 H Ohio State Big Ten ( 6- 2, 90.5) 418 A Oregon Big Ten ( 6- 3, 81.7)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 H California 16- 9 7 4 + 2.98
212 H Denver 4-15 -11 -6 -- -5.18
215 H Brown 9- 8 1 0 1.42
220 A UC Davis 12-11 1 0 0.88
222 A Stanford 4-18 -14 -12 -1.92
228 A Arizona State 16-14 2 -2 + 3.59
304 H San Diego State 13- 3 10 8 1.94
308 H Niagara 19-10 9 9 -0.33
312 H Penn State 8-19 -11 -6 -- -4.65
315 H Michigan 11-15 -4 -5 1.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 H Denver 4-15 -11 -6 -- -5.18 312 H Penn State 8-19 -11 -6 -- -4.65 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H California 16- 9 7 4 + 2.98 228 A Arizona State 16-14 2 -2 + 3.59 |
Southern California Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | Southern California | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| Albany | Southern California | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Southern California | |
| American | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Arizona State | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Austin Peay | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Binghamton | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Boston College | Boston College | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Boston College | |
| Boston University | Southern California | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| Brown | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Bryant | Southern California | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| Bucknell | Southern California | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Southern California | |
| Butler | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| California | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Campbell | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Canisius | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Central Connecticut | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Central Michigan | Southern California | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| Cincinnati | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Clemson | |
| Coastal Carolina | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Colgate | Southern California | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Southern California | |
| Colorado | Colorado | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colorado | |
| Columbia | Southern California | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Southern California | |
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | Dartmouth | ||
| Davidson | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Delaware | Delaware | Delaware | ||
| Delaware State | Southern California | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Detroit Mercy | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Drexel | Southern California | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| Duke | Duke | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Duke | |
| Duquesne | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| East Carolina | Southern California | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Southern California | |
| Eastern Michigan | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Elon | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Fairfield | Southern California | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Southern California | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| Florida | Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida | |
| Florida State | Southern California | Southern California 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Furman | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Gardner Webb | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| George Mason | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| George Washington | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| High Point | Southern California | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| Hofstra | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Holy Cross | Southern California | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| Howard (DC) | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Iona | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Jacksonville | |
| James Madison | James Madison | James Madison | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Kennesaw State | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Kent State | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| La Salle | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Lafayette | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Le Moyne | Southern California | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| Lehigh | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Liberty | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Lindenwood | Southern California | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| LIU | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Longwood | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | ||
| Manhattan | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Marist | Southern California | Southern California 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Marquette | Southern California | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Southern California | |
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Massachusetts | |
| Massachusetts-Lowell | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Mercer | Southern California | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Southern California | |
| Mercyhurst | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Merrimack | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Monmouth (NJ) | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Mount St Marys | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Navy | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| New Hampshire | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| New Haven | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Niagara | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Notre Dame | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Old Dominion | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Oregon | Southern California | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Southern California | |
| Penn | Penn | Penn | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pittsburgh | |
| Presbyterian | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Princeton | |
| Queens | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Quinnipiac | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Radford | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Rhode Island | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Richmond | Richmond | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Richmond | |
| Rider | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Robert Morris | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| Sacred Heart | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| San Diego State | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Siena | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| South Florida | South Florida | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | South Florida | |
| St Bonaventure | Southern California | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Southern California | |
| St Josephs (PA) | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Stetson | Southern California | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| Stonehill | Southern California | Southern California 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stony Brook | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Syracuse | |
| Temple | Temple | Temple | ||
| Towson | Southern California | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern California | |
| UC Davis | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| UMBC | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| UNC-Charlotte | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Vanderbilt | Southern California | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Southern California | |
| VCU | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Vermont | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Villanova | Villanova | Villanova | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Virginia Tech | |
| Wagner | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| William & Mary | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Winthrop | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Wofford | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Xavier | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| Yale | Yale | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Yale | |
| Youngstown State | Southern California | Southern California |
PowerWise = 91
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.26
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H California ( 5- 6, 82.4) 16- 9 -17.45 22.33 -1.33 0.83 34.67
0 H Denver ( 7- 1, 92.3) 4-15 -7.61 32.18 -1.33 0.83 -3.69
0 H Brown ( 4- 3, 86.9) 9- 8 -13.01 26.78 -1.33 0.83 42.01
0 A UC Davis ( 5- 4, 83.7) 12-11 -16.22 23.57 1.33 0.83 41.11
0 A Stanford ( 9- 0, 95.9) 4-18 -4.02 35.77 1.33 0.83 -1.11
0 A Arizona State ( 5- 5, 85.4) 16-14 -14.50 25.28 1.33 0.83 43.94
0 H San Diego Stat ( 1- 6, 78.4) 13- 3 -21.49 18.30 -1.33 0.83 28.01
0 H Niagara ( 1- 7, 77.1) 19-10 -22.76 17.03 -1.33 0.83 25.92
0 H Penn State ( 9- 1, 92.8) 8-19 -7.08 32.70 -1.33 0.83 -3.47
0 H Michigan ( 6- 2, 91.7) 11-15 -8.16 31.63 -1.33 0.83 -3.92
------
203.48
|
winning pts = 215.6646 losing points = -12.1880
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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